Friday, November 11, 2016

Forecast: Trump will be impeached

I agree more about this now on the path Trump has been
making these last few days. I hoped Obama would be able to
talk sense into him about healthcare issues and other facts.

Trump is dangerous and unstable in his decision making in the
house of cards around the middle east. Ripping the Iran agreement
will stir them up causing more issues America would have to attend to.
Relating to the lack of trust in most Muslim countries Amerca would
not be let in with the harassment and threat of Muslims in America.
This alone will force a change of power as more likely the Saudi's
would step in taking over issues. And push on more agreements
without America! Saudi Arabia is not doing well and would benefit
from agreements from their reign.

Other relating Mexico would cut off the US also over issues and
pushes for building a wall that is no use planes fly over them,
so no respect would be made because of the clear paranoia
shown by that push by Trump and people! Mexico will make
other agreements without the US!

Healthcare will collapse with uninsured as those numbers can jump
to the 100's of millions. By removing the mandatory part of healthcare.

It will free many to drop insurance in fact for more food money etc.
Also preexisting being removed is seen as 50 million alone and
others forced out by lack of financial help 80 out of 180 million
working class people with insurance is real. Insurance companies
where failing at 45.7 million uninsured before Obama Care! 

Also added the fact Trump is adding his own family members in 
office also is a bad issue with the light of all the issues and risk
going on!

Trump with no tax returns also puts up red flags. Along with the law suits
pending. High up in numbers.

The risk is far too high for America in it's threat of no insurance at all
And peoples threat of being treated like the Jews in Hitlers time.
Relating to the risk of the KKK feeling like they can push more into the light.
Is a high risk for the American people.

Fear, fear in people in gay marriages deleting their facebook photos.
Women fearing a Trump onset of sexism and suppression has no place
in America! Americans should not be put into that dark!

There are many that do not want Trump so in that I do see him to be
impeached. And I would advise such action be pushed on by both parties!
For the better of the American people, and global communities!
And also advise on Mike Pence also impeached on his risk to Americans
pointing as him also not fit relating to Trump! I have no trust with him!

Please listen!

~~~~~Prediction professor’ who called Trump’s big win also made another forecast: Trump will be impeached

“I'm going to make another prediction,” he said. “This one is not based on a system; it's just my gut. They don't want Trump as president, because they can't control him. He's unpredictable. They'd love to have Pence — an absolutely down-the-line, conservative, controllable Republican. And I'm quite certain Trump will give someone grounds for impeachment, either by doing something that endangers national security or because it helps his pocketbook.”

So while Republican voters clearly came home before Nov. 8 — network exit polls show 90 percent of GOP voters cast ballots for Trump — it's less clear that the party leadership is on board. (Lichtman actually isn't the only person to predict a Trump impeachment; this morning, the New York Times's David Brooks suggested that a Trump impeachment or resignation was “probably” in the cards sometime within the next year.)

It's worth noting that Lichtman's predictions use very different methods than pollsters and data-based prognosticators. Some statisticians take issue with the structure of his system, a set of 13 true/false questions, saying that the binary nature of his keys leads to what's called “overfitting,” which is basically creating a system that fits the data but has little statistical significance. But Lichtman counters by saying that the system has correctly predicted every election since 1984 (specifically, his predictions have picked the next president correctly in all of those elections but 2000, when he picked Al Gore, who won the popular vote). And Lichtman has his own criticism of data-based predictions.

“Polls are not predictors,” he said Friday in an email. “They are snapshots that simulate an election. They are abused and misused as predictors. Even the analysis of polls by Nate Silver and others which claimed a probable Clinton victory with from more than 70 percent to 99 percent certainty are mere compilations that are no better than the underlying polls.”

And he has particular disdain for prediction systems that assign a likelihood of winning.
“For all his acclaim, Nate Silver is only a clerk, not a scientific analyst,” Lichtman said.
As for the real reason for Trump's win, Lichtman says the blame can't be put on Hillary Clinton or her campaign — rather, he says, it was decided by the larger forces that shape American politics.

The Democrats cannot rebuild by pointing fingers at Hillary Clinton and her campaign, which as the Keys demonstrated, were not the root cause of her defeat,” he said. “The Democrats can rehabilitate themselves only by offering an inspiring progressive alternative to Republican policies and building a grass-roots movement.”