Monday, January 14, 2019

Fake News and Intelligence

As you know you cant run the government like a small town because it would have nothing like they have nothing. What do they have? Trump is catering to the simple minded people. Well catering to the small town people does not help the stock market grow they cant grow themselves. Low taxes yes but small town people don't see that stuff as low taxes is for the rich, the stock investors as they make more money than a worker without having to pay benefits. The poor does not pay much taxes they take in more taxes than they pay out so a tax cut is a cut to the poor. In that they cut back their spending. All of this is bad in a time of changing job skills where the wages and support for the poor should go up to cover the changes. The poor won't have the job skills as they can't afford it. This is a true thing there is a big lack of investment and it shows. Education is like the water that covers the iceberg or poop the less water the more the bad popups!

But the point is pushing the point of fake news to the "Crazies" in that is because they live a life of not knowing not that they are crazy. Lacking cause and effect. As things just happen for no reason out of the blue. Like how the FBI investigated how Trump's actions seemed to benefit Russia. No it was for no reason! How do you know if you don't know? A life long issue a paradox of the backwoods. Why ask that question because they don't know!

~~~~~I asked psychologists to analyze Trump supporters. This is what I learned.
"What Trump is tapping into is the mindset of a zero-sum game," Norton said, which he called an "intuitive" way of looking at the economy and society.

"It's hard to imagine that if we're eating a pizza, that adding more people would somehow give us more pizza. It takes a much-longer-term perspective," Norton said.

~~~~~Fake news usage of the term by Donald Trump
"FOX News and the planetary system of right-wing news sites that would orbit it and, later, Breitbart, were particularly adept at weaponizing such arguments and exploiting the increasingly partisan fervor animating the Republican base: They accused the media establishment of “liberal bias,” and substituted their own right-wing views as “fair and balanced” – a redefinition of terms that was a harbinger of Trump’s hijacking of “fake news” to refer not to alt-right conspiracy theories and Russian troll posts, but to real news that he perceived as inconvenient or a threat to himself."

In September 2018, National Public Radio noted that Trump has expanded his use of the terms "fake" and "phony" to "an increasingly wide variety of things he doesn't like": "The range of things Trump is declaring fake is growing too. Last month he tweeted about "fake books," "the fake dossier," "fake CNN," and he added a new claim – that Google search results are "RIGGED" to mostly show only negative stories about him." They graphed his expanding use in columns labeled: "Fake news", "Fake (other), and "Phony.

~~~~~FBI investigated how Trump's actions seemed to benefit Russia
The obstruction probe was an idea the FBI had previously considered, but it didn't start until Comey was fired. The justification went beyond Trump's firing of Comey, according to the sources, and included the President's conversation with Comey in the Oval Office asking him to drop the investigation into his former national security adviser Michael Flynn.

To be intelligent you first have to know what being Intelligent is. And you also have to know what being ignorant is. Ignorant is just another word for "Not knowing". But not knowing is not always obvious or clearly understood. That's because learning is not fully understood. The more you learn the more you should realize what you didn't know. And if you learn things that do not make you realize how much you didn't know, and if learning doesn't make you realize how much you still need to know, then you did not learn anything valuable or relevant. Wisdom does not come with age, wisdom comes from learning. And if learning does not increase your understanding of yourself and the world around you, then that's not learning, that's just memorizing. Ten people can experience the same thing but not learn the same thing. This is because skill level and knowledge level varies from person to person. So this will need to be the next big advancement in education. Where every student will know what to learn, when to learn, how to learn, where to learn and why to learn. And then every student will know how to test themselves and monitor their own progress in their own time, and at their own pace. But you still need to be actively learning and deliberately learning for your entire life.

Sunday, January 13, 2019

In a world of low pay changing job skills!

In a world of low pay changing job skills! Getting a education when you are poor is like good credit you have to buy something and your broke. The minimum wage needs to go up small towns are falling, over they are too broke and cant fix their homes. Nature doesn't care otherwise! 

All of this is a bad sign for a bad labor force! If you can't take care of yourself then how are you to take care of the workplace? Getting new job skills when it's too far to walk there or other concerns because they live with no AC or heat because they can't afford to use it. How can they afford student loans and cost of their education?

Well the minimum wage needs to go up to cover the cost of higher job skills needed. Relating to job skill training with low pay not raising the wages, if you don't it would be like running a marathon holding your breath because you are broke! Raising the wages will make a foundation to cover the changes in the job skills as workers could afford to get job skills. Lost jobs over robots to people that make enough money to get new skills to move up to the new higher level. Not to live without cutting everything back letting your home fall over because you can't afford to fix it.

Sad but true living poor just sets themselves up for failure you shouldn't build your home on sand because wood rots and futures rule like nature bulldozing those houses only to have a bunch of beavers with banjos stumbling out, they have no job skills. The future doesn't care about your personal issues it's like hearing a bunch of hoopla outside your home only to go outside in the morning to find a dead beaver with a banjo in the street not knowing how it got there only a concern to them a whatever to everyone else! 

The point lets raise the wages to cover the changes because you don't want rednecks 
fixing robots when they can't even fix their own homes. We all need to be brought up!

~~~~~Technology, jobs, and the future of work
Automation, digital platforms, and other innovations are changing the fundamental nature of work. Understanding these shifts can help policy makers, business leaders, and workers move forward.

The world of work is in a state of flux, which is causing considerable anxiety—and with good reason. There is growing polarization of labor-market opportunities between high- and low-skill jobs, unemployment and underemployment especially among young people, stagnating incomes for a large proportion of households, and income inequality. Migration and its effects on jobs has become a sensitive political issue in many advanced economies. And from Mumbai to Manchester, public debate rages about the future of work and whether there will be enough jobs to gainfully employ everyone.

The development of automation enabled by technologies including robotics and artificial intelligence brings the promise of higher productivity (and with productivity, economic growth), increased efficiencies, safety, and convenience. But these technologies also raise difficult questions about the broader impact of automation on jobs, skills, wages, and the nature of work itself.

Many activities that workers carry out today have the potential to be automated. At the same time, job-matching sites such as LinkedIn and Monster are changing and expanding the way individuals look for work and companies identify and recruit talent. Independent workers are increasingly choosing to offer their services on digital platforms including Upwork, Uber, and Etsy and, in the process, challenging conventional ideas about how and where work is undertaken.

For policy makers, business leaders, and workers themselves, these shifts create considerable uncertainty, alongside the potential benefits. This briefing note aims to provide a fact base on the multiple trends and forces buffeting the world of work drawing on recent research by the McKinsey Global Institute and others.

Thursday, January 10, 2019

The Myth of the Criminal Immigrant Fear Mongering

~~~~~The Trump administration’s first year of immigration policy has relied on claims that immigrants bring crime into America. President Trump’s latest target is sanctuary cities.

“Every day, sanctuary cities release illegal immigrants, drug dealers, traffickers, gang members back into our communities,” he said last week. “They’re safe havens for just some terrible people.”

As of 2017, according to Gallup polls, almost half of Americans agreed that immigrants make crime worse. But is it true that immigration drives crime? Many studies have shown that it does not.

Immigrant populations in the United States have been growing fast for decades now. Crime in the same period, however, has moved in the opposite direction, with the national rate of violent crime today well below what it was in 1980.

In a large-scale collaboration by four universities, led by Robert Adelman, a sociologist at the State University of New York at Buffalo, researchers compared immigration rates with crime rates for 200 metropolitan areas over the last several decades. The selected areas included huge urban hubs like New York and smaller manufacturing centers less than a hundredth that size, like Muncie, Ind., and were dispersed geographically across the country.

According to data from the study, a large majority of the areas have many more immigrants today than they did in 1980 and fewer violent crimes. The Marshall Project extended the study’s data up to 2016, showing that crime fell more often than it rose even as immigrant populations grew almost across the board.

In 136 metro areas, almost 70 percent of those studied, the immigrant population increased between 1980 and 2016 while crime stayed stable or fell. The number of areas where crime and immigration both increased was much lower — 54 areas, slightly more than a quarter of the total. The 10 places with the largest increases in immigrants all had lower levels of crime in 2016 than in 1980.

And yet the argument that immigrants bring crime into America has driven many of the policies enacted or proposed by the administration so far: restrictions to entry, travel and visas; heightened border enforcement; plans for a wall along the border with Mexico. This month, the Justice Department filed a lawsuit against California in response to the state’s restrictions on local police to assist Immigration and Customs Enforcement officers in detaining and deporting undocumented immigrants charged with crimes. On Tuesday, California’s Orange County signed on in support of that suit. But while the immigrant population in the county has more than doubled since 1980, overall violent crime has decreased by more than 50 percent.

There’s a similar pattern in two other places where Mr. Trump has recently feuded with local leaders: Oakland, Calif., and Lawrence, Mass. He described both cities as breeding grounds for drugs and crime brought by immigrants. But Oakland, like Orange County, has had increasing immigration and falling crime. In Lawrence, though murder and robbery rates grew, overall violent crime rates still fell by 10 percent.

In general, the study’s data suggests either that immigration has the effect of reducing average crime, or that there is simply no relationship between the two, and that the 54 areas in the study where both grew were instances of coincidence, not cause and effect. This was a consistent pattern in each decade from 1980 to 2016, with immigrant populations and crime failing to grow together.

In a majority of areas, the number of immigrants increased at least 57 percent and as much as 183 percent, with the greatest increases occurring in the 1990s and early 2000s. Violent crime rates in most areas ranged between a 43 percent decline and a 6 percent rise, often trending downward by the 2000s. Places with a sharp rise in the immigrant population experienced increases in crime rates no more frequently than those with modest or no growth in immigration. On average, the immigrant population grew by 137 percent between 1980 and 2016, with average crime falling 12 percent over the same period.

Because the F.B.I. changed how rape was defined in its crime figures, that category could not be included in this analysis. Focusing on the other components of the violent crime rate — assaults, robberies and murders — still fails to reveal a relationship with immigration rates.

Most areas experienced decreases in all types of violent crime. The change in assault rates ranged from a 34 percent decline to a 29 percent rise, while robbery rates declined in the range of 12 percent to 57 percent, and murder rates declined in the range of 15 percent to 54 percent.

This analysis is one of the most comprehensive longitudinal studies of the local immigrant-crime relationship. It spans decades of metropolitan area data, incorporating places with widely differing social, cultural and economic backgrounds, and a broad range of types of violent crime.

Areas were chosen to reflect a range of immigrant composition, from Wheeling, W.Va., where one in 100 people was born outside the United States, to Miami, where every second person was. Some areas were home to newly formed immigrant communities; other immigrant pockets went back generations. Controlling for population characteristics, unemployment rates and other socioeconomic conditions, the researchers still found that, on average, as immigration increases in American metropolises, crime decreases.

The foreign-born data, which is collected through the census, most likely undercounts the numbers of undocumented immigrants, many of whom might wish to avoid the risk of identifying themselves. They are, however, at least partly represented in the overall foreign-born population counts.

This is not the only study showing that immigration does not increase crime. A broad survey released in January examined years of research on the immigrant-crime connection, concluding that an overwhelming majority of studies found either no relationship between the two or a beneficial one, in which immigrant communities bring economic and cultural revitalization to the neighborhoods they join.

Wednesday, January 9, 2019

How the Trump Administration Is Remaking the Courts and Effect!

Well if you mess up a court system what will happen? 
Well a messed up court system takes care of itself!
If they do then the other wont so they don't and can't also!
Like the system being for the rich only to find they impoverished the 
labor force the poor till the rich can't find workers now because they
make nothing so they have nothing in a changing world with new job skills 
needed only for them to be too poor to use AC or heat with a home falling
apart around them because they can't afford to fix it because the banks 
underwriter said "Sorry your incomes too low!" As you don't see the rich or 
middle class people working at Walmart yet alone have people with job skills
to fix the robots that would be working at Walmart because the workers had
no social mobility and worked hard making the same pay retiring on 
minimum wage in a world of a dying middle class with no one to replace them
as the poor is poor with no way to go up! Because of tax cuts that the rich gave
to the stock investors because they make more money than a worker does with no
cost of having to pay for the workers benefits. The investors get the money and the
worker that does not make enough money to buy stocks gets nothing so being they 
make nothing they have nothing not helping the economy grow because they can't 
grow themselves bringing on the national debt that always happens with low taxes
as the poor cuts back all their spending forcing businesses owners to lower their prices
to match the poverty wages of the people making the businesses poor like they are.

It all brings up the point why have a Court system in the first place why bother?
Where gong to be too poor to use it anyway let it go!

~~~~~How the Trump Administration Is Remaking the Courts
In short, a radically new federal judiciary could be with us long after Trump is gone. Brian Fallon, a veteran Democratic operative who leads Demand Justice, a group formed to help Democrats with research and communications in the judicial wars, says, “We can win back the House this November, we can defeat Trump in 2020 and we’ll still be dealing with the lingering effects of Trumpism for the next 30 or 40 years because of the young Trump-appointed judges.”

Fly from Mexico to Canada then walk across the border to avoid the hoopla!

Well if it was me I would save up my money for a few years to get my visa 
then get airplane tickets to Canada (For my family vacation.) only to walk across 
the border over there just to avoid the paranoid people in Texas etc. 
Well Canada don't have walls!

Well it's the 21st century most are brought up and buy their airplane tickets online.
If not then I would go take a class at a vocational school to get a paper there for
a better job to afford a airplane ticket. Well really make it happen is what I would do!

That wall just doesn't make sense. Drug dealers always have thrown drugs out of
air planes from Mexico that is how they do it!

An adult here would imply that we need more money spent in the 21st century
for Airplane security outward not a wall they will just be forced to fly over! 

"Mexicans wanting to illegally enter the U.S. are flying over it first, landing in Canada and then walking south across the northern border — sometimes with the help of human smugglers, according to the RCMP and U.S. Border Patrol (USBP)."

WE MUST BUILD a WALL IN CANADA! (Slapping my chest!!!!!!!)

"Find the best flight from Mexico City to Nuuk" (Then the US!)

Well just buy a ticket at Tripadvisor and get over it!!!!!!!!!!

Tuesday, January 8, 2019

Doug E Fresh and the Rubber Ducky

Back in the 90's when I worked at the Marriott as a banquet sever I was working
a banquet that had a DJ. He was setting up and was playing a song from Doug E Fresh.
And in the back hall there was a long mirror to fix our tux before we went out.
Well I wet my hair down a bit and was doing the dougie in the mirror when
my boss came in the back hall and saw me. He called me Doug E Fresh and that
was my nickname soon after.

Later I ended up dating a hairdresser. She barfed on the first date. She smoked weed and liked to go at gay bars being she had a hard life she was abused by a biker gang lady that had a death threat on her from testifying in court about them. The bar was her safe zone! Dating her I told her my nickname was Doug E Fresh. Well she got around to introducing me to her drunk friends at the time we walked up to them stopped and she said this is my "lover dougie" one of her drunk friends looked at me and said "Rubber Ducky?" So came another nickname "Rubber Ducky" And so I hope I am to people!

Mexicans help create, not take jobs away - Everyone wants their Taco

As a point to not be fear mongered by Trumps BS look at the facts! As I say we all need to work together to make affordable electric cars. We all need to be brought up. More social mobility, less people walking without cars. Get those people educated so they don't cut off their legs to save their toe expecting you to do the same! True and to be fear mongered is disabling yourself and that helps no one!

Like the days of the red scare and a point to be brought up away from those days of xenophobia as in life we all grow up. We go through Middle School then through High School on, you don't go back to Middle School after High School!

These immigrants are wanting to take care of their family like a rich guy that puts a fence around his property. With out a Keep Out sign in front with something to hide type fence! But you get the point No man is a island. We all are not islands! Many places can't find the workers we need them here! 

Something I would say to troubled workers at the Hotel I worked at when I was consoling them was "Everyone wants their Taco and they don't care how they get it, make it happen!"

~~~~~Mexicans help create, not take jobs away from Texans, SMU study says.
Far from taking jobs away from Texans, Mexicans are helping create additional employment opportunities, providing valuable labor for a growing economy and helping the deepening integration with Mexico, according to the Texas-Mexico Center at Southern Methodist University.

The findings of the first research study by the center come as the Trump administration cracks down on unauthorized immigrants, referring to them as criminals and calling for a wall between both countries. The center's study called for "freer migration" across the border and fewer barriers to international crossings, touting Texas as an example of cooperation with Mexico.

Juan Gonzalez (center) is CEO and chairman of GRUMA. Matthew Meyers (left) is dean of the Cox School of Business, and Tom Di Piero, dean at Dedman College of Humanities and Science.
The nonpartisan Texas-Mexico Center was created in 2017 with a $4 million donation from Monterrey, Mexico-based GRUMA and its Dallas-based subsidiary, Mission Foods, with the goal of highlighting the deepening economic and cultural integration underway between Texas and Mexico. As many as 1 million jobs in Texas are attributed to trade with Mexico.  GRUMA alone generates about 1,000 direct jobs and more than 4,500 indirect jobs in the north region.

"We know Texas leads the way in strengthening collaboration between neighbors," Juan Gonzalez Moreno, chairman and CEO of GRUMA, said in a statement. "And through this center, we reaffirm our belief that working together we will continue to elevate and strengthen the Texas-Mexico-United States relationship. This research will create better work and business opportunities on both sides of the border."

The study  relied on data from the U.S. Census Bureau and its Mexican counterpart, known as INEGI. The study, with contributions by the Bush School of Government at Texas A&M University, the Federal Reserve Board of Dallas and Colegio de Mexico in Mexico City, stressed the importance of labor from Mexico, which is in decline in many parts of the United States.

Underscoring the trends is the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement, or NAFTA. The trade accord led to a dramatic economic transformation that fueled a shift in goods, products and movement of people, factors that over the years have impacted cities and regions. For instance, supply chains and cultural integration deepened in cities such as Dallas as Mexico-based companies moved into North Texas along with their products — from tortillas to pasta to  Topo Chico —  and, of course, more workers.

"I would argue the border always had deep integration simply because of geography and that places like El Paso and Juarez grew up together and like cousins, bound by their shared history, family and economic journey," said Luisa M. del Rosal, executive director of the SMU Tower Center and Mission Foods Texas-Mexico Center, as the center is formally known. "NAFTA made the relationship grow beyond the border and allowed other cities to enjoy the fruits of a close familial relationship. ... In Dallas, it went beyond economics. It was cultural because the people and products were now here, beyond the border, and NAFTA enhanced that at the border and made it possible in North Texas."

Luisa del Rosal, executive director of the Tower Center and Mission Foods Texas-Mexico Center

The report's rosy outlook is a thorn on the side of the President Donald Trump's administration. Last week, U.S. Attorney General Jeff Sessions visited the border and compared immigrants to criminals.  Sessions decried illegal migration and insisted that legality must come before anything, playing down the need for more workers during a booming economy.

"Under President Trump, we've seen wages increase at the fastest pace in a decade," said Sessions. "And we can already hear the open borders crowd — and certain sectors of the business lobby — starting to complain.  But we absolutely must not flood the labor market with foreign workers — legal or illegal — in order to bring wages down. Our citizens want our government to think about them for a change.  They have dreams, too."

Among the study's findings:

— Trade with Mexico does not hinder interstate trading in the U.S. States are still more likely to trade among themselves than across the border with Mexico, which shows the border trade relationship supports both national and international trade.

— Because of the integration across value chains, there is clear evidence that Mexican and U.S. workers are complements for each other rather than substitutes.

— Revisions of NAFTA need to maintain cross-border integration.

— Freer migration reduced Mexico´s wage inequality.

Texas A&M University's Raymond Robertson said the post-NAFTA era presents new economic opportunities complemented by a labor market across borders.

"While Mexican and American workers competed for the same jobs during the 1987-94 period, since NAFTA this has changed," he said. "Now both groups complement each other and act as a single production unit."